Live experiment · running
Do the signals actually make money?
Every Edge Finder signal above the strength threshold is written down before its slot starts. When the slot resolves, the outcome is recorded automatically. Nothing is added afterwards and nothing is removed — including the losing ones.
How this is measured
- A few minutes before each slot opens, its signal strength is computed for both the 30-day and the 90-day sample.
- If strength clears the threshold, the slot is recorded: direction, strength, edge, sample size and the market price of the side being backed.
- A fixed stake is assumed on every signal, entered at the price the market was actually quoting when the signal was recorded. A winning share pays $1.
- When the market resolves, the real outcome settles the position. Wins and losses both stay on the page.
The money is simulated, the rest is not: signals are timestamped before the outcome exists, and results come from the resolved markets themselves. On 52¢: alerts arrive minutes before a slot opens and share prices on these markets move fast, so an entry is rarely forced at any single price — 52¢ is deliberately set slightly worse than even odds to absorb fees and imperfect timing. It is an assumption, and a conservative one: at that price a strategy needs better than 52% accuracy just to break even. Early on the sample is small; treat this as an experiment in progress, not a proven edge.