Everything about PolyEdgeFinder and Polymarket prediction markets — short and clear.
About PolyEdgeFinder
PolyEdgeFinder is an analytics platform for Polymarket crypto Up/Down markets. It helps traders spot statistical patterns, study historical performance and find slots with a high-probability edge. Start with the Edge Finder or read the guide.
The platform continuously collects and analyses historical Polymarket data — UP/DOWN outcome rates, sample size, confidence and statistical significance — then ranks upcoming slots by signal strength. The guide explains every metric.
Edge Score is a proprietary metric that combines the historical outcome rate, sample size and confidence level into a single number. It shows how statistically grounded a market's skew is, rather than random. Formulas and thresholds are covered in the guide.
No. PolyEdgeFinder does not make predictions and does not forecast price. It surfaces historical statistical tendencies and recurring patterns based on past market behaviour. The decision is always yours — this is not financial advice.
The Edge Finder is a real-time scanner that ranks upcoming crypto slots by signal strength and historical performance. For each slot you see UP/DOWN rate, sample size, Z-score and a recommendation.
The Wallet Dashboard gives advanced analytics for any Polymarket wallet: total P&L, win rate, profit factor, expected value, streaks and full trade history. Just paste a wallet address.
The History Explorer lets you research historical market outcomes by asset, timeframe, weekday and individual slot — to see how UP/DOWN distributed over time.
Up/Down markets are supported for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB and HYPE, across timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 day (5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d). Per-pair stats live on the statistics pages.
Yes. Subscribe to any upcoming slot in the Edge Finder and the Telegram bot pings you a couple of minutes before it starts — but only when the signal is strong. You set the threshold, mute and lead time yourself.
Yes, the core features are free — no signup, no payment. Additional premium tools may appear in the future, but the core analytics stay free.
No. The analytics run right in your browser with no signup. A wallet is only needed to trade on Polymarket itself — not to view statistics on PolyEdgeFinder.
More than 274,000 historical market records are indexed so far, and the database keeps growing as new slots resolve.
No. PolyEdgeFinder is an independent analytics platform built for Polymarket traders. We are not affiliated with Polymarket. For anything else, contact us.
PolyEdgeFinder focuses specifically on recurring crypto Up/Down markets: statistical pattern discovery, wallet analytics and historical research in one place. Not a generic tracker, but a tool built for one market type.
About Polymarket
Polymarket is the largest blockchain-based prediction-market platform, where people trade on the outcomes of real events: crypto, elections, sports, the economy. Settlement is in cryptocurrency (USDC on Polygon).
Each market is a question with outcomes (e.g. Yes/No or Up/Down). A share's price reflects the market's estimate of that outcome: a share at 60¢ implies a ~60% chance in the market's view. After the event, the winning side redeems at $1 and the losing side at $0.
After the event, a market resolves by a predefined criterion: the winning outcome is determined, its shares redeem at $1 and the rest at $0. For crypto Up/Down markets the criterion is the asset's price relative to a target level at close.
Up/Down markets are recurring crypto markets where traders bet whether an asset's price will finish above or below a set level by the slot's close. They run on short intervals (5m, 15m, 1h, etc.) and repeat constantly — exactly what PolyEdgeFinder analyses.
Yes, traders can profit, but the risk is real — you can also lose. Profitability depends on discipline, risk management and analysis quality. PolyEdgeFinder provides data for more informed decisions but guarantees no outcome. This is not financial advice.
Expected value (EV) is the average result of a bet if you repeated it many times. Roughly: EV = (win probability × payout) − (loss probability × stake). Positive EV means the bet is statistically favourable over the long run. Per-wallet EV is computed in the Wallet Dashboard.
Polymarket's status depends on the country: licensed in some, restricted or not directly available in others. This is not legal advice — check the rules in your jurisdiction. A detailed breakdown for Russia, Ukraine and Belarus is in our article in the Learn section.