Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch
← Up/Down leaderboard
I
Ill-Metaphor
Add to watchlist#30 on the Up/Down leaderboard★★★BTC · 1h1050 markets sampled
0x40138697bf1a0d655593f3be6237d60c1dc7ab35
🎯PredictorCopyability 100/100
P&L
+$448
ROI
1.0%
Win rate
71.5%
Edge over market
+26.2pp
avg entry 45.3¢ ★★★
Profit Factor
1.13
Trades
863
Trades/day
27.4
7-day P&L
+$794

Equity curve

By coin

TradesWin %P&L
eth14877%+$489
bnb2282%+$58
hype1090%+$42
doge11100%+$36
sol8100%+$31
xrp2471%+$6
btc64069%−$214

By timeframe

TradesWin %P&L
5m70969%+$265
1h7688%+$137
15m4279%+$52
4h3675%−$6

Recent trades

Time UTCMarketSideEntryResult
08-13 04:58BNB 1h▼ Down57¢open
08-13 04:45BTC 4h▼ Down30¢open
08-13 04:44ETH 4h▼ Down33¢open
08-13 04:14BNB 15m▼ Down38¢W +$4
08-13 04:11BNB 15m▼ Down39¢W +$3
08-13 03:58BNB 1h▼ Down49¢L −$11
08-13 03:29SOL 15m▼ Down31¢W +$4
08-13 03:18DOGE 15m▼ Down38¢W +$1
08-13 03:15SOL 15m▼ Down38¢W +$3
08-13 03:09ETH 5m▼ Down51¢L +$0
08-13 03:05ETH 5m▼ Down38¢W +$2
08-13 03:00ETH 5m▼ Down35¢W +$2
Full history & charts on the dashboard →
Edge in percentage points = how far win rate beat the average entry price. ★ is awarded only for a statistically significant edge above the market odds. Favorite-buyers (entry 0.95+) show a high win rate but near-zero edge.