Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

BNB Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks

Over 37,133 resolved Polymarket BNB Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.9% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.

5m25,892 markets
49.7%Up
Up / Down49.7% / 50.3%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak18
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $5.6k · 2026-08-29 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
15m8,629 markets
50.2%Up
Up / Down50.2% / 49.8%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak12
Current streak4 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $25.4k · 2026-11-02 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
1h2,156 markets
50.6%Up
Up / Down50.6% / 49.4%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak8
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $5.2k · 2026-09-04 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
4h456 markets
51.3%Up
Up / Down51.3% / 48.7%
Longest up streak7
Longest down streak6
Current streak2 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $3.4k · 2026-08-26 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly