Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

BNB Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks

Over 37,030 resolved Polymarket BNB Up/Down markets, price closed up 50.1% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.

5m25,894 markets
50.1%Up
Up / Down50.1% / 49.9%
Longest up streak14
Longest down streak13
Current streak3 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $183.9k · 2026-07-17 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
15m8,446 markets
49.9%Up
Up / Down49.9% / 50.1%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak15
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $16.0k · 2026-08-08 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
1h2,152 markets
51.4%Up
Up / Down51.4% / 48.6%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak9
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $52.8k · 2026-06-21 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
4h538 markets
49.6%Up
Up / Down49.6% / 50.4%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak7
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $7.6k · 2026-05-31 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly