Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

BNB Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks

Over 37,190 resolved Polymarket BNB Up/Down markets, price closed up 50.3% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.

5m25,872 markets
50.0%Up
Up / Down50.0% / 50.0%
Longest up streak14
Longest down streak11
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $183.9k · 2026-07-17 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
15m8,622 markets
50.4%Up
Up / Down50.4% / 49.6%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak15
Current streak2 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $16.0k · 2026-08-08 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
1h2,159 markets
52.1%Up
Up / Down52.1% / 47.9%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak9
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $22.2k · 2026-08-02 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →
4h537 markets
52.7%Up
Up / Down52.7% / 47.3%
Longest up streak7
Longest down streak6
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $6.3k · 2026-08-02 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly