Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

Up/Down Base Rates & Streaks

Across 260,456 resolved Polymarket crypto Up/Down markets — how often each coin closed up, plus longest streaks. Covering 7 coins, updated regularly.

CoinMarketsUp % Down %Longest ↑Longest ↓
BTCBitcoin 37,250 49.9%
50.1% 11 13
DOGEDogecoin 37,219 50.2%
49.8% 15 11
XRPXRP 37,210 49.6%
50.4% 13 14
SOLSolana 37,203 49.9%
50.1% 13 14
HYPEHyperliquid 37,197 50.2%
49.8% 13 14
BNBBNB 37,190 50.3%
49.7% 14 15
ETHEthereum 37,187 50.2%
49.8% 12 13

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly