Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

Up/Down Base Rates & Streaks

Across 259,295 resolved Polymarket crypto Up/Down markets — how often each coin closed up, plus longest streaks. Covering 7 coins, updated regularly.

CoinMarketsUp % Down %Longest ↑Longest ↓
BTCBitcoin 37,210 49.6%
50.4% 11 13
BNBBNB 37,037 50.1%
49.9% 14 15
ETHEthereum 37,010 49.7%
50.3% 13 11
SOLSolana 37,010 49.6%
50.4% 12 11
XRPXRP 37,010 48.9%
51.1% 14 13
HYPEHyperliquid 37,010 50.1%
49.9% 12 12
DOGEDogecoin 37,008 49.7%
50.3% 12 12

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly