Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

SOL Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks

Over 37,133 resolved Polymarket Solana Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.4% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.

5m25,892 markets
49.2%Up
Up / Down49.2% / 50.8%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak14
Current streak5 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $34.4k · 2026-08-18 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →
15m8,630 markets
49.6%Up
Up / Down49.6% / 50.4%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak12
Current streak2 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $57.5k · 2026-09-10 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
1h2,155 markets
49.0%Up
Up / Down49.0% / 51.0%
Longest up streak7
Longest down streak9
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $60.0k · 2026-09-16 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →
4h456 markets
52.9%Up
Up / Down52.9% / 47.1%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak6
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $24.2k · 2026-08-19 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly