XRP Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,133 resolved Polymarket XRP Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.4% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,892 markets
49.1%Up
Up / Down49.1% / 50.9%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak14
Current streak5 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $18.3k · 2026-11-13 · Down
15m8,630 markets
49.9%Up
Up / Down49.9% / 50.1%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak11
Current streak4 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $11.3k · 2026-09-09 · Down
1h2,155 markets
50.3%Up
Up / Down50.3% / 49.7%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak8
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $44.1k · 2026-09-01 · Down
4h456 markets
49.3%Up
Up / Down49.3% / 50.7%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak10
Current streak3 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $61.2k · 2026-08-22 · Down
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly