Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

XRP Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks

Over 37,034 resolved Polymarket XRP Up/Down markets, price closed up 48.9% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.

5m25,896 markets
49.0%Up
Up / Down49.0% / 51.0%
Longest up streak14
Longest down streak13
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.5k · 2026-07-16 · Down
Time-of-day patterns →
15m8,448 markets
48.7%Up
Up / Down48.7% / 51.3%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak10
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $22.6k · 2026-07-07 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →
1h2,151 markets
48.9%Up
Up / Down48.9% / 51.1%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak10
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.7k · 2026-05-23 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →
4h539 markets
45.6%Up
Up / Down45.6% / 54.4%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak8
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $18.6k · 2026-08-05 · Up
Time-of-day patterns →

A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.

updated regularly