XRP Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,210 resolved Polymarket XRP Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.6% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,887 markets
49.4%Up
Up / Down49.4% / 50.6%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak14
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.5k · 2026-07-16 · Down
15m8,629 markets
50.0%Up
Up / Down50.0% / 50.0%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak9
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $22.6k · 2026-07-07 · Up
1h2,155 markets
50.6%Up
Up / Down50.6% / 49.4%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak8
Current streak3 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $44.1k · 2026-09-01 · Down
4h539 markets
48.4%Up
Up / Down48.4% / 51.6%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak10
Current streak3 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $61.2k · 2026-08-22 · Down
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly