Live status of Bitcoin on Polymarket Up/Down markets. Below: every timeframe with current market odds, price versus the slot open, and how often this exact time slot has historically closed UP.
Each card is the current Polymarket "Up or Down" slot. The UP price in cents ≈ the probability the market assigns right now: 62¢ means "the market prices a ~62% chance of closing up".
The arrow compares the live coin price with the price at slot open. Above open means UP is "winning" right now; the slot close decides the outcome.
The history line is the share of UP outcomes for this exact time slot across our database of hundreds of thousands of resolved markets. Past frequency, not a promise about the future.
Nobody knows the future. This page shows what the market thinks right now (live UP/DOWN prices on Polymarket), where the price sits versus the slot open, and how often this slot has historically closed up. The decision is yours.
They are plain frequencies of past outcomes from our database of resolved markets, with no curve fitting. Past frequency does not guarantee future results — treat it as context, not a signal.
Our collector writes prices roughly once a minute, and the page refreshes values every ~30 seconds without a reload.
Updated: 2026-08-13 15:37 UTC
Not financial advice. Trading prediction markets involves risk.