ETH Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,187 resolved Polymarket Ethereum Up/Down markets, price closed up 50.2% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,872 markets
49.9%Up
Up / Down49.9% / 50.1%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak13
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $100.3k · 2026-07-15 · Down
15m8,623 markets
50.5%Up
Up / Down50.5% / 49.5%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak12
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $103.2k · 2026-09-19 · Up
1h2,154 markets
50.9%Up
Up / Down50.9% / 49.1%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak8
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $52.7k · 2026-09-17 · Up
4h538 markets
54.1%Up
Up / Down54.1% / 45.9%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak7
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.1k · 2026-08-23 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly