ETH Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,035 resolved Polymarket Ethereum Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.7% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,897 markets
49.7%Up
Up / Down49.7% / 50.3%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak10
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $111.7k · 2026-06-15 · Down
15m8,447 markets
49.5%Up
Up / Down49.5% / 50.5%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak11
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $117.0k · 2026-07-02 · Down
1h2,152 markets
49.7%Up
Up / Down49.7% / 50.3%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak8
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.8k · 2026-07-27 · Down
4h539 markets
49.5%Up
Up / Down49.5% / 50.5%
Longest up streak7
Longest down streak7
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $27.6k · 2026-08-07 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly