ETH Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,131 resolved Polymarket Ethereum Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.7% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,891 markets
49.5%Up
Up / Down49.5% / 50.5%
Longest up streak14
Longest down streak13
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $149.6k · 2026-10-30 · Down
15m8,629 markets
49.7%Up
Up / Down49.7% / 50.3%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak12
Current streak3 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $103.2k · 2026-09-19 · Up
1h2,155 markets
50.0%Up
Up / Down50.0% / 50.0%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak9
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $52.7k · 2026-09-17 · Up
4h456 markets
55.7%Up
Up / Down55.7% / 44.3%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak7
Current streak6 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $46.1k · 2026-08-23 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly