HYPE Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,034 resolved Polymarket Hyperliquid Up/Down markets, price closed up 50.1% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,897 markets
49.9%Up
Up / Down49.9% / 50.1%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak12
Current streak6 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $65.0k · 2026-07-28 · Down
15m8,446 markets
50.4%Up
Up / Down50.4% / 49.6%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak11
Current streak2 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $15.5k · 2026-07-07 · Up
1h2,152 markets
51.4%Up
Up / Down51.4% / 48.6%
Longest up streak10
Longest down streak8
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $11.8k · 2026-08-05 · Down
4h539 markets
52.1%Up
Up / Down52.1% / 47.9%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak8
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $18.4k · 2026-08-06 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly