HYPE Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,197 resolved Polymarket Hyperliquid Up/Down markets, price closed up 50.2% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,873 markets
50.0%Up
Up / Down50.0% / 50.0%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak14
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $65.0k · 2026-07-28 · Down
15m8,631 markets
50.1%Up
Up / Down50.1% / 49.9%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak10
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $15.5k · 2026-07-07 · Up
1h2,155 markets
52.5%Up
Up / Down52.5% / 47.5%
Longest up streak8
Longest down streak7
Current streak4 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $11.8k · 2026-08-05 · Down
4h538 markets
53.5%Up
Up / Down53.5% / 46.5%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak8
Current streak1 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $18.4k · 2026-08-06 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly