HYPE Up/Down — Base Rates & Streaks
Over 37,134 resolved Polymarket Hyperliquid Up/Down markets, price closed up 49.9% of the time. Below: base rate, streaks and the current streak for each timeframe.
5m25,892 markets
49.8%Up
Up / Down49.8% / 50.2%
Longest up streak12
Longest down streak14
Current streak3 · Up
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $16.8k · 2026-10-23 · Up
15m8,630 markets
49.6%Up
Up / Down49.6% / 50.4%
Longest up streak11
Longest down streak11
Current streak2 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $17.4k · 2026-10-21 · Up
1h2,156 markets
51.6%Up
Up / Down51.6% / 48.4%
Longest up streak9
Longest down streak9
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $8.7k · 2026-08-27 · Up
4h456 markets
52.4%Up
Up / Down52.4% / 47.6%
Longest up streak13
Longest down streak6
Current streak1 · Down
Recent outcomes
Biggest market: $2.6k · 2026-09-11 · Up
A base rate is the share of markets that closed up. Values near 50% mean a near-fair coin: a durable edge comes from skill, not from guessing the side.
updated regularly