How often does Hyperliquid close UP vs DOWN in 5-minute Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.
Hyperliquid shows a clear, repeatable skew at 5-minute — several slots deviate well beyond chance, which is unusual for short-term crypto markets.
Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 4:35PM-4:40PM ET, which closed DOWN 66% of the time across 90 markets.
Across the most recent markets, Hyperliquid closed UP 50% of the time in 5-minute slots (25,904 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.
The slot with the strongest UP lean is 3:20AM-3:25AM (62% UP over 90 occurrences).
The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 4:35PM-4:40PM (66% DOWN over 90 occurrences).
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4:35PM-4:40PM | 34% | 66% | 90 | ★★★ |
| 6:25PM-6:30PM | 34% | 66% | 90 | ★★★ |
| 8:15PM-8:20PM | 37% | 63% | 90 | ★★ |
| 3:20AM-3:25AM | 62% | 38% | 90 | ★★ |
| 8:50AM-8:55AM | 62% | 38% | 90 | ★★ |
| 3:10PM-3:15PM | 38% | 62% | 90 | ★★ |
| 9:35PM-9:40PM | 38% | 62% | 90 | ★★ |
| 8:10PM-8:15PM | 61% | 39% | 90 | ★★ |
| 2:05AM-2:10AM | 40% | 60% | 90 | ★ |
| 3:15AM-3:20AM | 60% | 40% | 90 | ★ |
| 4:25AM-4:30AM | 60% | 40% | 90 | ★ |
| 7:20AM-7:25AM | 60% | 40% | 90 | ★ |
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12AM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 1AM ET | 52% | 48% | 1080 |
| 2AM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 3AM ET | 51% | 49% | 1080 |
| 4AM ET | 52% | 48% | 1080 |
| 5AM ET | 50% | 50% | 1080 |
| 6AM ET | 50% | 50% | 1080 |
| 7AM ET | 50% | 50% | 1080 |
| 8AM ET | 52% | 48% | 1080 |
| 9AM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 10AM ET | 50% | 50% | 1079 |
| 11AM ET | 50% | 50% | 1075 |
| 12PM ET | 49% | 51% | 1076 |
| 1PM ET | 50% | 50% | 1077 |
| 2PM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 3PM ET | 51% | 49% | 1080 |
| 4PM ET | 48% | 52% | 1077 |
| 5PM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 6PM ET | 50% | 50% | 1080 |
| 7PM ET | 51% | 49% | 1080 |
| 8PM ET | 50% | 50% | 1080 |
| 9PM ET | 48% | 52% | 1080 |
| 10PM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| 11PM ET | 49% | 51% | 1080 |
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | 51% | 49% | 3745 |
| Monday | 49% | 51% | 3743 |
| Tuesday | 49% | 51% | 3743 |
| Wednesday | 50% | 50% | 3739 |
| Thursday | 50% | 50% | 3644 |
| Friday | 50% | 50% | 3547 |
| Saturday | 49% | 51% | 3743 |
Each 5-minute Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.