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Hyperliquid 1-hour Up or Down — historical patterns

How often does Hyperliquid close UP vs DOWN in 1-hour Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.

Hyperliquid shows mild but noticeable tendencies at 1-hour. A few time slots lean one way more often than not, though the edges are modest.

Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 12PM ET, which closed UP 61% of the time across 90 markets.

Overview

52% UP

Across the most recent markets, Hyperliquid closed UP 52% of the time in 1-hour slots (2,159 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.

Strongest patterns

The slot with the strongest UP lean is 12PM (61% UP over 90 occurrences).

The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 12AM (41% DOWN over 90 occurrences).

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %MarketsSignificance
12PM61%39%90★★
4AM60%40%90★
12AM59%41%90★
7AM59%41%90★

Win rate by time of day (ET)

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
12AM ET59%41%90
1AM ET56%44%90
2AM ET58%42%90
3AM ET54%46%90
4AM ET60%40%90
5AM ET53%47%90
6AM ET58%42%90
7AM ET59%41%90
8AM ET50%50%90
9AM ET49%51%90
10AM ET56%44%90
11AM ET49%51%89
12PM ET61%39%90
1PM ET47%53%90
2PM ET51%49%90
3PM ET42%58%90
4PM ET50%50%90
5PM ET46%54%90
6PM ET49%51%90
7PM ET54%46%90
8PM ET49%51%90
9PM ET51%49%90
10PM ET51%49%90
11PM ET47%53%90

Win rate by day of week

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
Sunday52%48%312
Monday52%48%312
Tuesday54%46%312
Wednesday54%46%303
Thursday52%48%295
Friday50%50%313
Saturday53%47%312
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How this works

Each 1-hour Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.

Updated: 2026-09-30 · Not financial advice. Historical data only.