Polymarket ↗ Launch →Launch

Dogecoin 1-hour Up or Down — historical patterns

How often does Dogecoin close UP vs DOWN in 1-hour Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.

Dogecoin is largely efficient at 1-hour — outcomes stay close to a coin flip across most slots. That itself is useful: it tells you not to expect a reliable directional edge here.

Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 6PM ET, which closed DOWN 61% of the time across 90 markets.

Overview

50% UP

Across the most recent markets, Dogecoin closed UP 50% of the time in 1-hour slots (2,152 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.

Strongest patterns

The slot with the strongest UP lean is 8AM (60% UP over 90 occurrences).

The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 6PM (61% DOWN over 90 occurrences).

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %MarketsSignificance
6PM39%61%90★★
8AM60%40%90

Win rate by time of day (ET)

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
12AM ET46%54%90
1AM ET58%42%90
2AM ET44%56%90
3AM ET46%54%89
4AM ET55%45%89
5AM ET44%56%89
6AM ET52%48%88
7AM ET54%46%89
8AM ET60%40%90
9AM ET49%51%90
10AM ET55%45%89
11AM ET54%46%89
12PM ET51%49%90
1PM ET50%50%90
2PM ET44%56%90
3PM ET50%50%90
4PM ET53%47%90
5PM ET46%54%90
6PM ET39%61%90
7PM ET52%48%90
8PM ET56%44%90
9PM ET44%56%90
10PM ET47%53%90
11PM ET53%47%90

Win rate by day of week

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
Sunday52%48%308
Monday47%53%312
Tuesday50%50%311
Wednesday49%51%311
Thursday49%51%302
Friday53%47%296
Saturday51%49%312
Explore live signals →

How this works

Each 1-hour Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.

Updated: 2026-08-13 · Not financial advice. Historical data only.