How often does Dogecoin close UP vs DOWN in 15-minute Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.
Dogecoin shows a clear, repeatable skew at 15-minute — several slots deviate well beyond chance, which is unusual for short-term crypto markets.
Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 9:00AM-9:15AM ET, which closed DOWN 70% of the time across 90 markets.
Across the most recent markets, Dogecoin closed UP 50% of the time in 15-minute slots (8,628 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.
The slot with the strongest UP lean is 2:30AM-2:45AM (64% UP over 90 occurrences).
The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 9:00AM-9:15AM (70% DOWN over 90 occurrences).
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:00AM-9:15AM | 30% | 70% | 90 | ★★★ |
| 2:30AM-2:45AM | 64% | 36% | 90 | ★★★ |
| 3:30PM-3:45PM | 37% | 63% | 90 | ★★ |
| 11:00PM-11:15PM | 38% | 62% | 90 | ★★ |
| 1:30AM-1:45AM | 39% | 61% | 89 | ★★ |
| 7:15AM-7:30AM | 61% | 39% | 90 | ★★ |
| 4:00PM-4:15PM | 61% | 39% | 90 | ★★ |
| 6:15PM-6:30PM | 39% | 61% | 90 | ★★ |
| 5:45PM-6:00PM | 40% | 60% | 90 | ★ |
| 9:45PM-10:00PM | 40% | 60% | 89 | ★ |
| 3:15AM-3:30AM | 41% | 59% | 90 | ★ |
| 5:45AM-6:00AM | 59% | 41% | 90 | ★ |
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12AM ET | 49% | 51% | 359 |
| 1AM ET | 46% | 54% | 356 |
| 2AM ET | 53% | 47% | 360 |
| 3AM ET | 49% | 51% | 360 |
| 4AM ET | 53% | 47% | 360 |
| 5AM ET | 51% | 49% | 360 |
| 6AM ET | 54% | 46% | 360 |
| 7AM ET | 54% | 46% | 360 |
| 8AM ET | 51% | 49% | 360 |
| 9AM ET | 49% | 51% | 360 |
| 10AM ET | 51% | 49% | 360 |
| 11AM ET | 51% | 49% | 360 |
| 12PM ET | 50% | 50% | 360 |
| 1PM ET | 48% | 52% | 360 |
| 2PM ET | 48% | 52% | 360 |
| 3PM ET | 46% | 54% | 360 |
| 4PM ET | 52% | 48% | 360 |
| 5PM ET | 46% | 54% | 360 |
| 6PM ET | 49% | 51% | 360 |
| 7PM ET | 53% | 47% | 360 |
| 8PM ET | 49% | 51% | 357 |
| 9PM ET | 46% | 54% | 356 |
| 10PM ET | 51% | 49% | 360 |
| 11PM ET | 47% | 53% | 360 |
| Slot (ET) | UP % | DOWN % | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | 51% | 49% | 1148 |
| Monday | 49% | 51% | 1240 |
| Tuesday | 49% | 51% | 1248 |
| Wednesday | 50% | 50% | 1248 |
| Thursday | 49% | 51% | 1248 |
| Friday | 52% | 48% | 1248 |
| Saturday | 49% | 51% | 1248 |
Each 15-minute Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.