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Dogecoin 5-minute Up or Down — historical patterns

How often does Dogecoin close UP vs DOWN in 5-minute Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.

Dogecoin shows a clear, repeatable skew at 5-minute — several slots deviate well beyond chance, which is unusual for short-term crypto markets.

Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 9:05AM-9:10AM ET, which closed DOWN 66% of the time across 90 markets.

Overview

50% UP

Across the most recent markets, Dogecoin closed UP 50% of the time in 5-minute slots (25,887 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.

Strongest patterns

The slot with the strongest UP lean is 4:00PM-4:05PM (63% UP over 90 occurrences).

The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 9:05AM-9:10AM (66% DOWN over 90 occurrences).

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %MarketsSignificance
9:05AM-9:10AM34%66%90★★★
8:55PM-9:00PM34%66%89★★★
4:20AM-4:25AM36%64%90★★★
8:00PM-8:05PM36%64%90★★★
3:30PM-3:35PM37%63%90★★
4:00PM-4:05PM63%37%90★★
6:35PM-6:40PM63%37%90★★
7:40PM-7:45PM63%37%90★★
1:40AM-1:45AM38%62%89★★
2:50AM-2:55AM38%62%90★★
6:05AM-6:10AM38%62%90★★
12:20PM-12:25PM38%62%90★★

Win rate by time of day (ET)

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
12AM ET50%50%1079
1AM ET47%53%1068
2AM ET49%51%1080
3AM ET50%50%1080
4AM ET49%51%1080
5AM ET49%51%1080
6AM ET50%50%1080
7AM ET53%47%1080
8AM ET50%50%1080
9AM ET48%52%1080
10AM ET52%48%1080
11AM ET48%52%1078
12PM ET51%49%1080
1PM ET48%52%1080
2PM ET48%52%1080
3PM ET49%51%1080
4PM ET52%48%1080
5PM ET48%52%1080
6PM ET51%49%1080
7PM ET54%46%1080
8PM ET49%51%1077
9PM ET48%52%1068
10PM ET50%50%1077
11PM ET48%52%1080

Win rate by day of week

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
Sunday51%49%3451
Monday49%51%3718
Tuesday49%51%3744
Wednesday49%51%3744
Thursday48%52%3743
Friday51%49%3743
Saturday51%49%3744
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How this works

Each 5-minute Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.

Updated: 2026-11-15 · Not financial advice. Historical data only.