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Dogecoin 5-minute Up or Down — historical patterns

How often does Dogecoin close UP vs DOWN in 5-minute Polymarket markets? This page breaks down real historical outcomes — by time of day and day of week — so you can spot statistical patterns. Data updates automatically.

Dogecoin shows a clear, repeatable skew at 5-minute — several slots deviate well beyond chance, which is unusual for short-term crypto markets.

Key takeaway: The standout pattern is 4:45PM-4:50PM ET, which closed DOWN 66% of the time across 90 markets.

Overview

50% UP

Across the most recent markets, Dogecoin closed UP 50% of the time in 5-minute slots (25,892 markets analyzed). A reading near 50% means the market is efficient; a strong skew suggests a recurring pattern.

Strongest patterns

The slot with the strongest UP lean is 8:50AM-8:55AM (64% UP over 90 occurrences).

The slot with the strongest DOWN lean is 4:45PM-4:50PM (66% DOWN over 90 occurrences).

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %MarketsSignificance
4:45PM-4:50PM34%66%90★★★
8:50AM-8:55AM64%36%90★★★
7:25PM-7:30PM64%36%90★★★
1:55PM-2:00PM37%63%89★★
10:55AM-11:00AM63%37%88★★
12:45AM-12:50AM38%62%90★★
2:25PM-2:30PM38%62%90★★
11:50PM-11:55PM38%62%90★★
2:50AM-2:55AM39%61%90★★
9:40AM-9:45AM61%39%89★★
10:25AM-10:30AM61%39%89★★
11:10AM-11:15AM39%61%89★★

Win rate by time of day (ET)

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
12AM ET49%51%1080
1AM ET49%51%1080
2AM ET50%50%1080
3AM ET49%51%1080
4AM ET50%50%1080
5AM ET49%51%1080
6AM ET51%49%1080
7AM ET54%46%1080
8AM ET51%49%1080
9AM ET50%50%1073
10AM ET52%48%1067
11AM ET50%50%1074
12PM ET54%46%1080
1PM ET47%53%1079
2PM ET48%52%1080
3PM ET49%51%1080
4PM ET51%49%1080
5PM ET49%51%1080
6PM ET48%52%1080
7PM ET53%47%1080
8PM ET50%50%1080
9PM ET50%50%1080
10PM ET48%52%1079
11PM ET49%51%1080

Win rate by day of week

Slot (ET)UP %DOWN %Markets
Sunday51%49%3743
Monday49%51%3744
Tuesday49%51%3744
Wednesday49%51%3615
Thursday50%50%3559
Friday51%49%3743
Saturday51%49%3744
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How this works

Each 5-minute Polymarket market resolves UP or DOWN. We aggregate outcomes by their start time and weekday, then compute the UP rate and a statistical significance score (Z-score). Patterns with more occurrences and higher Z-scores are more reliable. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.

Updated: 2026-09-30 · Not financial advice. Historical data only.